TWiV 304: Given X, solve for EBOV

September 28, 2014

Ebola predictionHosts: Vincent RacanielloDickson DespommierAlan Dove, and Kathy Spindler

Guest: Jeff Shaman

The TWiV team consults an epidemiologist to forecast the future scope of the Ebola virus epidemic in West Africa.

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This episode of TWiV is brought to you by the Department of Microbiology at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. Composed of over 20 virology labs, all centralized in one building in the heart of New York City, this department is a perfect fit for anyone with an interest in pursuing virus research. The Department is presently looking to recruit any prospective graduate students to apply to our program by the December 1st deadline. Interested postdocs are also encouraged to contact faculty of interest. For more information about the Department, please visit

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6 comments on “TWiV 304: Given X, solve for EBOV

  1. Les2011 Sep 29, 2014

    Please change the download link from TWIV303.mp3 to TWIV304.mp3 on the TWIV304 page

    • Chris Sep 29, 2014

      Thank you for pointing that out. I would have missed TWIV 303 because I fell behind while on vacation. I did just grab TWiV 304 from the RSS feed (link above on right).

  2. the numbers look better now, just look at the WHO-charts at

    yet at I still read

    Update 10/01/2014
    … Overall, for the combined forecast, the exponential growth of the outbreak is consistent
    with the previous week.

    which I don’t quite understand.

  3. Ddanimal Oct 8, 2014


    Will you guys discuss this study sometime?

    it shows that EBV can survive and remain infectious in the form of aerosol particles for at least 90 minutes.

    “This study has demonstrated that filoviruses are able to survive and remain infectious for cell culture, for extended periods when suspended within liquid media and dried onto surfaces. In addition, decay rates of a range of filoviruses, within small-particle aerosols, have been calculated, and these rates suggest that filoviruses are able to survive and remain infectious for cell culture for at least 90 min.”

    And yet, the CDC and other medical people are saying that its absolutely not airborne. That seems to me to be false in view of this evidence and other evidence (experiments on monkeys, the infections of people that had zero physical contact with patients or fluids).