Hosts: Vincent Racaniello, Dickson Despommier, Alan Dove, and Kathy Spindler
Guest: Jeff Shaman
The TWiV team consults an epidemiologist to forecast the future scope of the Ebola virus epidemic in West Africa.
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Download TWiV 304 (71 MB .mp3, 98 min)
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Links for this episode
- Science communications fellow at ASM
- Estimating future cases in Ebola virus epidemic (MMWR)
- Columbia prediction of Ebola outbreak
- The Ebola emergency (NEJM)
- Q&As on Ebola virus transmission (CDC)
- Ebola virus transmission to monkeys (Lancet)
- Aerosol infection of monkeys with Ebola virus (Int J Exp Path)
- Ebola virus replication in pigs (J Inf Dis)
- Pathology of aerosol Ebola virus infection in rhesus macaques (Vet Path)
- Murine model of Ebolavirus infection (Viruses)
- Ebola virus transmission from pigs to non-human primates (Sci Rep)
- Transmission risks in BSL4 laboratory (Sci Rep)
- Why Ebola virus is unlikely to go airborne (Vox)
- Letters read on TWiV 304
Weekly Science Picks
Alan – Fabre’s Book of Insects
Kathy – Origami microscope for 50 cents
Dickson – Landsat 8
Vincent – Some advice from Jeff Bezos
Listener Pick of the Week
Justin – Brazil releases ‘good’ mosquitoes to fight dengue fever
Send your virology questions and comments (email or mp3 file) to twiv@microbe.tv
Please change the download link from TWIV303.mp3 to TWIV304.mp3 on the TWIV304 page
Thank you for pointing that out. I would have missed TWIV 303 because I fell behind while on vacation. I did just grab TWiV 304 from the RSS feed (link above on right).
the numbers look better now, just look at the WHO-charts at
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/
yet at http://cpid.iri.columbia.edu/ebola.html I still read
Update 10/01/2014
… Overall, for the combined forecast, the exponential growth of the outbreak is consistent
with the previous week.
which I don’t quite understand.
Hello
Will you guys discuss this study sometime?
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2672.2010.04778.x/full
it shows that EBV can survive and remain infectious in the form of aerosol particles for at least 90 minutes.
“This study has demonstrated that filoviruses are able to survive and remain infectious for cell culture, for extended periods when suspended within liquid media and dried onto surfaces. In addition, decay rates of a range of filoviruses, within small-particle aerosols, have been calculated, and these rates suggest that filoviruses are able to survive and remain infectious for cell culture for at least 90 min.”
And yet, the CDC and other medical people are saying that its absolutely not airborne. That seems to me to be false in view of this evidence and other evidence (experiments on monkeys, the infections of people that had zero physical contact with patients or fluids).